Synthetic biology is a set of emerging technologies enabling the modification and creation of living cells and organisms, and of their building blocks. It promises breakthroughs in fundamental biology and has possible applications in fields ranging from nutrition to engineering.1
- Fundamental synthetic biology
- Manufacturing, industry and agriculture
- Medicine and health
- Energy, climate and conservation
Sub-Topics
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One day we could programme living cells like we do a computer
Synthetic biology operates on multiple scales, from molecules to multicellular organisms to whole ecosystems.2 At the smallest scale, we can manufacture novel molecules and materials that do not exist in nature. Non-living materials may be imbued with properties of living organisms, such as self-repair.3 Alternatively, microorganisms can be engineered to produce desirable molecules, for instance by genome synthesis or directed evolution.
At the level of cells, artificial versions of key biomolecules such as nucleic acids can be synthesised and introduced into the genomes of microorganisms.4 Other engineered cells can be used as biosensors, for instance to detect threats,5 to produce other useful chemicals or to break down harmful ones such as pollutants. They can also be induced to form tissues and organs, which could be used in place of transplants.6
Multicellular organisms can be modified using genome synthesis editing. There have also been preliminary attempts to create wholly artificial multicellular organisms.7
Given its wide-ranging applications, there is a need for synthetic biology to be developed alongside ethical and societal expertise in order to shape how and why decisions are being made, and for whom.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Synthetic biology enables the creation and modification of living organisms, and of their molecular building blocks. The field is advancing rapidly. In fundamental synthetic biology, faster and better genome editing, and other technologies, are enabling the development of heavily modified organisms. The potential applications of synthetic biology are immensely varied. The approach is already being used in Medicine and health, for instance to develop genetic therapies for inherited diseases, to engineer new medicines, and to design new cancer therapies. Likewise, there is considerable potential to improve Manufacturing, industry and agriculture. Synthetic biology enables new technologies such as bioelectronics and the creation of new materials. Bioplastics created from living organisms could replace at least some plastics from fossil fuels. Synthetic pesticides and gene drives may reduce crop losses and also cut costs. Finally, there are emerging applications in Energy, climate and conservation. These include engineering at-risk organisms to be more resilient against environmental change and using microorganisms to produce zero-carbon fuels such as green hydrogen. Because of the potential risks to humans and ecosystems, there is an urgent need to develop security measurements for synthetic biology.
Anticipatory Impact:
Three fundamental questions guide GESDA’s mission and drive its work: Who are we, as humans? How can we all live together? How can we ensure the well-being of humankind and the sustainable future of our planet? We asked researchers from the field to anticipate what impact future breakthroughs could have on each of these dimensions. This wheel summarises their opinions when considering each of these questions, with a higher score indicating high anticipated impact, and vice versa.
- Anticipated impact on who we are as humans
- Anticipated impact on how we will all live together
- Anticipated impact on the well-being of humankind and sustainable future of our planet

Fundamental synthetic biology
Future Horizons:
10-yearhorizon
Synthesis costs fall
25-yearhorizon
AI improves user access for synthesis
A major challenge is to create generic platforms for synthetic biology. These will improve the accessibility of the technology, especially in the developing world, and open the way to more repeatable experiments. Synthetic biology platforms could include artificial vesicles for catalysis of reactions and delivery of molecules,10 programmable systems for gluing proteins,11 and microorganisms with minimal genomes that are more readily reprogrammed and rationally designed.12 Ecosystems of synthetic organisms also have potential but are under-explored.13
In order to achieve the desired goals quickly and effectively, there is a need to develop new methods of designing synthetic organisms. Multiple avenues are being explored: some focus on designing organisms that exhibit goal-seeking and problem-solving behaviours,14 while others are aiming for an open-ended evolutionary process that will continue to develop and change.15
The opportunities of synthetic biology come with risk. Engineered organisms have considerable potential to harm humans and ecosystems intentionally or accidentally. Hence some synthetic biologists are devising ways to contain their engineered organisms:16 for instance, ensuring organisms can only survive when given a specific chemical that is not found in nature.17The best strategies will use multiple orthogonal control systems, providing several fail-safes to minimise the chances of escape.18
Fundamental synthetic biology - Anticipation Scores
The Anticipation Potential of a research field is determined by the capacity for impactful action in the present, considering possible future transformative breakthroughs in a field over a 25-year outlook. A field with a high Anticipation Potential, therefore, combines the potential range of future transformative possibilities engendered by a research area with a wide field of opportunities for action in the present. We asked researchers in the field to anticipate:
- The uncertainty related to future science breakthroughs in the field
- The transformative effect anticipated breakthroughs may have on research and society
- The scope for action in the present in relation to anticipated breakthroughs.
This chart represents a summary of their responses to each of these elements, which when combined, provide the Anticipation Potential for the topic. See methodology for more information.

Manufacturing, industry and agriculture
Future Horizons:
5-yearhorizon
Engineering starts to scale
10-yearhorizon
Rational design comes of age
25-yearhorizon
Synthetic biology is integrated into other technologies
The most obvious potential is in chemistry and materials science, as microorganisms such as bacteria or yeast can be engineered to synthesise chemicals22 and materials.23 In effect, living cells are used as factories.24 Thanks to catalytic enzymes, biological systems can often perform syntheses at lower temperatures and pressures than traditional chemical systems, saving energy and reducing greenhouse-gas emissions. There is untapped potential in the engineering of microbial communities and multicellularity, rather than single cells, for these purposes.25
As well as purely biological systems, synthetic biology may be integrated with other forms of technology. For instance, there is growing interest in synthelectronics, which fuses electronics and synthetic biology.26 Living photovoltaic solar cells27 are one possible application.28
An area of increasing interest is the use of synthetic biology to produce food and food ingredients. Examples of this include the use of microbial cells to produce specific molecules such as vitamins, the use of plant cells and biomass to make plant-based meat alternatives, or the use of animal cells to make cultivated meat.29
Finally, many actors are attempting to apply synthetic biology to agriculture. For instance, it may be possible to re-engineer photosynthesis, the process by which green plants use sunlight to make sugars from carbon dioxide. More efficient photosynthesis could lead to increased crop yields.30 In the longer term, it may also be possible to engineer the fates of plant cells, optimising the morphology of the plants for new environments.31
Manufacturing, industry and agriculture - Anticipation Scores
The Anticipation Potential of a research field is determined by the capacity for impactful action in the present, considering possible future transformative breakthroughs in a field over a 25-year outlook. A field with a high Anticipation Potential, therefore, combines the potential range of future transformative possibilities engendered by a research area with a wide field of opportunities for action in the present. We asked researchers in the field to anticipate:
- The uncertainty related to future science breakthroughs in the field
- The transformative effect anticipated breakthroughs may have on research and society
- The scope for action in the present in relation to anticipated breakthroughs.
This chart represents a summary of their responses to each of these elements, which when combined, provide the Anticipation Potential for the topic. See methodology for more information.

Medicine and health
Future Horizons:
5-yearhorizon
Human cells and genomes are re-engineered through AI
10-yearhorizon
Synthetic-cell therapies are customisable
25-yearhorizon
Organ production is programmable
It is theoretically possible to use genome editing to treat genetic diseases.36 Inherited diseases are a particularly tempting target. A number of technologies exist for precision genome editing of human cells,37 and some in vivo experiments targeting conditions like mucopolysaccharidosis have already been conducted.38 However, genome editing’s potential goes beyond genetic conditions. For instance, CRISPR-Cas may be used to treat viral infections by targeting the virus’s genome within human cells.39 There is also potential for improving cancer treatments,40 such as by engineering immune cells to kill tumours.41 To minimise the risk of off-target effects, improved maps of human genetic diversity are a prerequisite for such therapies.42
Therapies based on synthetic cells43 have shown promise for certain hard-to-treat conditions such as spinal muscular atrophy.44 In some cases,45 bacteria act as “living drugs”.46 Controlling such cells remains a challenge,47 but programmable synthetic receptor systems may offer a means of doing so.48There have also been preliminary investigations into the benefits of modifying the skin microbiome.49 Going beyond cells, engineered tissues have potential as drug-delivery systems,50 while synthetic transplant organs and induced tissue regeneration remain distant but tantalising possibilities.51
Medicine and health - Anticipation Scores
The Anticipation Potential of a research field is determined by the capacity for impactful action in the present, considering possible future transformative breakthroughs in a field over a 25-year outlook. A field with a high Anticipation Potential, therefore, combines the potential range of future transformative possibilities engendered by a research area with a wide field of opportunities for action in the present. We asked researchers in the field to anticipate:
- The uncertainty related to future science breakthroughs in the field
- The transformative effect anticipated breakthroughs may have on research and society
- The scope for action in the present in relation to anticipated breakthroughs.
This chart represents a summary of their responses to each of these elements, which when combined, provide the Anticipation Potential for the topic. See methodology for more information.

Energy, climate and conservation
Future Horizons:
5-yearhorizon
AI accelerates discovery
10-yearhorizon
Engineered organisms achieve climate resilience
25-yearhorizon
Biodiversity begins to be restored through engineering
There are multiple avenues for using synthetic biology to mitigate climate change. Algae and other cellular factories could be used to produce renewable fuels, offering a less land-intensive alternative to biofuels.54 Notably, some early work has been done on engineering microbes to produce hydrogen.55Unlike existing methods of hydrogen manufacture, this would be low- or zero-carbon.56Similarly, microbes are being engineered for enhanced carbon capture, potentially removing carbon dioxide from the air.57
The flow of pollutants into the environment may be reduced through the use of synthetic biology. For instance, chemical pesticides may be partially replaced by biotechnologies such as RNA interference for pest control or by engineering the pests themselves — using gene drives, for example.58 Where pollutants are already present, engineered microbes may speed up their degradation.59
Endangered species and ecosystems may be made more robust through synthetic biology.60[56] Genome editing may be used to monitor threatened species or to identify the species making up harmful algal blooms.61 More radically, genome editors could enhance adaptive traits, for instance by making coral holobionts more tolerant of higher temperatures to protect coral reefs from climate change.62 Any such endeavours would need a reliable understanding of the ecosystems involved: in particular, it is important to gain a better understanding of microbial ecosystems, which are also threatened but are understudied.63
Energy, climate and conservation - Anticipation Scores
The Anticipation Potential of a research field is determined by the capacity for impactful action in the present, considering possible future transformative breakthroughs in a field over a 25-year outlook. A field with a high Anticipation Potential, therefore, combines the potential range of future transformative possibilities engendered by a research area with a wide field of opportunities for action in the present. We asked researchers in the field to anticipate:
- The uncertainty related to future science breakthroughs in the field
- The transformative effect anticipated breakthroughs may have on research and society
- The scope for action in the present in relation to anticipated breakthroughs.
This chart represents a summary of their responses to each of these elements, which when combined, provide the Anticipation Potential for the topic. See methodology for more information.




