Synthetic Biology
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Synthetic Biology

5.1

Topic

Synthetic Biology

Synthetic biology is a set of emerging technologies enabling the modification and creation of living cells and organisms, and of their building blocks. It promises breakthroughs in fundamental biology and has possible applications in fields ranging from nutrition to engineering.1

Video

One day we could programme living cells like we do a computer

    Synthetic biology operates on multiple scales, from molecules to multicellular organisms to whole ecosystems.2 At the smallest scale, we can manufacture novel molecules and materials that do not exist in nature. Non-living materials may be imbued with properties of living organisms, such as self-repair.3 Alternatively, microorganisms can be engineered to produce desirable molecules, for instance by genome synthesis or directed evolution.

    At the level of cells, artificial versions of key biomolecules such as nucleic acids can be synthesised and introduced into the genomes of microorganisms.4 Other engineered cells can be used as biosensors, for instance to detect threats,5 to produce other useful chemicals or to break down harmful ones such as pollutants. They can also be induced to form tissues and organs, which could be used in place of transplants.6

    Multicellular organisms can be modified using genome synthesis editing. There have also been preliminary attempts to create wholly artificial multicellular organisms.7

    Given its wide-ranging applications, there is a need for synthetic biology to be developed alongside ethical and societal expertise in order to shape how and why decisions are being made, and for whom.

    KEY TAKEAWAYS

    Synthetic biology enables the creation and modification of living organisms, and of their molecular building blocks. The field is advancing rapidly. In fundamental synthetic biology, faster and better genome editing, and other technologies, are enabling the development of heavily modified organisms. The potential applications of synthetic biology are immensely varied. The approach is already being used in Medicine and health, for instance to develop genetic therapies for inherited diseases, to engineer new medicines, and to design new cancer therapies. Likewise, there is considerable potential to improve Manufacturing, industry and agriculture. Synthetic biology enables new technologies such as bioelectronics and the creation of new materials. Bioplastics created from living organisms could replace at least some plastics from fossil fuels. Synthetic pesticides and gene drives may reduce crop losses and also cut costs. Finally, there are emerging applications in Energy, climate and conservation. These include engineering at-risk organisms to be more resilient against environmental change and using microorganisms to produce zero-carbon fuels such as green hydrogen. Because of the potential risks to humans and ecosystems, there is an urgent need to develop security measurements for synthetic biology.

    Emerging Topic:

    Anticipation Potential

    Synthetic Biology

    Sub-Fields:

    Fundamental synthetic biology
    Manufacturing, industry and agriculture
    Medicine and health
    Energy, climate and conservation
    The ability to modify and create organisms, living cells or their building blocks could lead to major breakthroughs in fundamental biology and unleash new possibilities in nutrition, pharmaceuticals and engineering. While breakthroughs in synthetic biomolecules and tissues are expected in the next six years, progress in synthetic cells and multicellular organisms is further away. Future breakthroughs in Synthetic Biology will be hugely transformational and therefore the field has a high overall Anticipation Potential score.

    Anticipatory Impact:

    Three fundamental questions guide GESDA’s mission and drive its work: Who are we, as humans? How can we all live together? How can we ensure the well-being of humankind and the sustainable future of our planet? We asked researchers from the field to anticipate what impact future breakthroughs could have on each of these dimensions. This wheel summarises their opinions when considering each of these questions, with a higher score indicating high anticipated impact, and vice versa.

    • Anticipated impact on who we are as humans
    • Anticipated impact on how we will all live together
    • Anticipated impact on the well-being of humankind and sustainable future of our planet

    Fundamental synthetic biology

    The aim of synthetic biology is to treat life as programmable matter and to reprogram it to serve human ends. This requires understanding the intricate mechanisms underpinning living cells and devising ways to manipulate those systems. Genome editing, for instance using CRISPR-Cas, is a key tool.8 DNA synthesis has become much faster and cheaper, enabling researchers to create microorganisms with wholly synthetic genomes from scratch.9 AI will be a major driver for advances in synthetic biology. This has already been seen with AlphaFold’s ability to convert DNA sequence into predictable protein structures.

    Future Horizons:

    ×××

    5-yearhorizon

    Synthesis tools mature

    Speedy synthesis of longer pieces of DNA spanning hundreds of kilobases is achieved. Synthetic RNA/DNA devices for cell control begin to make an impact. AI is able to infer function from the structure of all biological molecules, changing how we design, alter and annotate genomes. Computational tools currently used in model organisms are readily adaptable for non-model organisms. Cell-free systems further accelerate design-build-test-learn cycles.

    10-yearhorizon

    Synthesis costs fall

    DNA synthesis becomes as cheap as DNA sequencing. Generic, widely accessible platforms and chassis for synthetic biology appear. Synthetic biology and biomaterial design are integrated. Dependence on plasmids is reduced, allowing integration of much longer DNA sequences into organisms. Improved genotype-phenotype mapping enables more rational design and prediction of effects of interventions, and AI starts to predict emerging phenomena. Proteins for catalysis are designed. Ethics and access to the technology start to shape its development and use.

    25-yearhorizon

    AI improves user access for synthesis

    Integration of AI enables users to supply instructions in human language, which are then implemented in the molecular construction. Rational design of synthetic microbial ecosystems is achieved. Researchers develop fully designed microbial genomes for specific tasks. Heavily automated synthetic-biology labs function as “cloud labs” for biological research. Massive parallel editing of genomes, with hundreds of thousands of changes at a time, becomes possible. Sustainable partnership with the planet allows the design of entire biological ecosystems that serve those who need them the most.

    A major challenge is to create generic platforms for synthetic biology. These will improve the accessibility of the technology, especially in the developing world, and open the way to more repeatable experiments. Synthetic biology platforms could include artificial vesicles for catalysis of reactions and delivery of molecules,10 programmable systems for gluing proteins,11 and microorganisms with minimal genomes that are more readily reprogrammed and rationally designed.12 Ecosystems of synthetic organisms also have potential but are under-explored.13

    In order to achieve the desired goals quickly and effectively, there is a need to develop new methods of designing synthetic organisms. Multiple avenues are being explored: some focus on designing organisms that exhibit goal-seeking and problem-solving behaviours,14 while others are aiming for an open-ended evolutionary process that will continue to develop and change.15

    The opportunities of synthetic biology come with risk. Engineered organisms have considerable potential to harm humans and ecosystems intentionally or accidentally. Hence some synthetic biologists are devising ways to contain their engineered organisms:16 for instance, ensuring organisms can only survive when given a specific chemical that is not found in nature.17The best strategies will use multiple orthogonal control systems, providing several fail-safes to minimise the chances of escape.18

    Fundamental synthetic biology - Anticipation Scores

    The Anticipation Potential of a research field is determined by the capacity for impactful action in the present, considering possible future transformative breakthroughs in a field over a 25-year outlook. A field with a high Anticipation Potential, therefore, combines the potential range of future transformative possibilities engendered by a research area with a wide field of opportunities for action in the present. We asked researchers in the field to anticipate:

    1. The uncertainty related to future science breakthroughs in the field
    2. The transformative effect anticipated breakthroughs may have on research and society
    3. The scope for action in the present in relation to anticipated breakthroughs.

    This chart represents a summary of their responses to each of these elements, which when combined, provide the Anticipation Potential for the topic. See methodology for more information.

    Manufacturing, industry and agriculture

    The tools and products of synthetic biology have potential applications in manufacturing and many other industries, including farming. Much of this work is at an early stage and there are few commercial products as yet.19 Key challenges include scaling up lab-based experiments in a commercially viable way20 and controlling synthetic organisms and their interaction with their environment.21

    Future Horizons:

    ×××

    5-yearhorizon

    Engineering starts to scale

    Multiple engineered cell lines are used to synthesise chemical products. Increasingly systematised methods are available for engineering cellular factories. New bioreactors specialised for products like cultured meat, with AI control systems to maximise efficiency and scalability, enable smooth transitions from lab-scale to industrial-scale. New growth media for animal cells are achieved, perhaps derived from microbes. Transgenic crops are made resistant to certain stressors, based on changes to corresponding pathways.

    10-yearhorizon

    Rational design comes of age

    Rational design of tissues for chemical and materials synthesis becomes the norm. More efficient photosynthesis is achieved in genome-edited crop plants which are fertilised sustainably and monitored using biosensors. Synthetic systems, including cell-free systems, start to be used for manufacturing many products at scale. New feedstocks for manufacturing, including waste and simple carbon molecules like carbon dioxide, are available. Research improves culturing of engineered cells for food production, perhaps with synthesis pathways for essential nutrients such as vitamins. Cell-based manufacture becomes routine. New approaches for distributed manufacturing mature.

    25-yearhorizon

    Synthetic biology is integrated into other technologies

    Research achieves widespread integration of synthetic biology into other technologies such as electronics. Generic, customisable systems for culturing engineered microorganisms for chemical synthesis begin to appear. Biological catalysis outperforms traditional pure chemistry approaches on efficiency or price. Thirty per cent of materials are produced biologically. Engineered crop plants are able to resist multiple stressors associated with extreme environments, based on multiple genomic changes. New flavours for food not found in nature are designed, based on detailed mapping of flavour components and their chemical or genetic underpinnings. Entirely new plants are grown.

    The most obvious potential is in chemistry and materials science, as microorganisms such as bacteria or yeast can be engineered to synthesise chemicals22 and materials.23 In effect, living cells are used as factories.24 Thanks to catalytic enzymes, biological systems can often perform syntheses at lower temperatures and pressures than traditional chemical systems, saving energy and reducing greenhouse-gas emissions. There is untapped potential in the engineering of microbial communities and multicellularity, rather than single cells, for these purposes.25

    As well as purely biological systems, synthetic biology may be integrated with other forms of technology. For instance, there is growing interest in synthelectronics, which fuses electronics and synthetic biology.26 Living photovoltaic solar cells27 are one possible application.28

    An area of increasing interest is the use of synthetic biology to produce food and food ingredients. Examples of this include the use of microbial cells to produce specific molecules such as vitamins, the use of plant cells and biomass to make plant-based meat alternatives, or the use of animal cells to make cultivated meat.29

    Finally, many actors are attempting to apply synthetic biology to agriculture. For instance, it may be possible to re-engineer photosynthesis, the process by which green plants use sunlight to make sugars from carbon dioxide. More efficient photosynthesis could lead to increased crop yields.30 In the longer term, it may also be possible to engineer the fates of plant cells, optimising the morphology of the plants for new environments.31

    Manufacturing, industry and agriculture - Anticipation Scores

    The Anticipation Potential of a research field is determined by the capacity for impactful action in the present, considering possible future transformative breakthroughs in a field over a 25-year outlook. A field with a high Anticipation Potential, therefore, combines the potential range of future transformative possibilities engendered by a research area with a wide field of opportunities for action in the present. We asked researchers in the field to anticipate:

    1. The uncertainty related to future science breakthroughs in the field
    2. The transformative effect anticipated breakthroughs may have on research and society
    3. The scope for action in the present in relation to anticipated breakthroughs.

    This chart represents a summary of their responses to each of these elements, which when combined, provide the Anticipation Potential for the topic. See methodology for more information.

    Medicine and health

    Synthetic biology is already being applied to some areas of medicine, and there is considerable potential to expand its use.32 Many medicines are either sourced directly from living organisms or based on chemicals produced in nature. Synthetic biology has the potential to find many new candidate drugs33 and to produce medicines in cellular factories.34 Notably, the first synthetic vaccines have been made and shown to be effective.35

    Future Horizons:

    ×××

    5-yearhorizon

    Human cells and genomes are re-engineered through AI

    AI guides the re-engineering of human cells and genomes. The human pangenome is used to predict unwanted side effects of genome edits. Cell-based diagnostic systems can be implanted into the human body, and rational design of binding molecules such as antibodies leads to new, targeted treatments. More effective probiotics and symbiotics are available. Many new cell therapies such as CAR T-cell and cancer therapeutics begin to appear, along with rapid design and production of new RNA-based easily programmable vaccines, including variants for emerging strains.

    10-yearhorizon

    Synthetic-cell therapies are customisable

    Generic and customisable systems can create synthetic-cell therapies. Cellular factories allow high-throughput production of new therapeutics. Improved understanding of microbiome-host relationships enables microbiomes to be used for therapy. Cellular sensors, some integrated with electronic systems, monitor fluctuating body systems such as blood sugar. A new base-editing tool is discovered which opens up new therapeutic strategies. Cell-free biosensors are used to assess water quality.52,53

    25-yearhorizon

    Organ production is programmable

    Programmable organ production from stem cells for human transplants becomes possible, along with inducible tissue regeneration for a limited set of organs. Whole-organ engineering begins to happen. Cellular devices can both diagnose and treat conditions, for instance by synthesising a treatment. Long-lasting microbiome therapeutics that can release a drug steadily eliminate the need to take pills. Engineered phage therapies for antibiotic-resistant bacterial infections become available. Synthetic-biology approaches to public health are applied, providing clean water, nutrition and improved air quality.

    It is theoretically possible to use genome editing to treat genetic diseases.36 Inherited diseases are a particularly tempting target. A number of technologies exist for precision genome editing of human cells,37 and some in vivo experiments targeting conditions like mucopolysaccharidosis have already been conducted.38 However, genome editing’s potential goes beyond genetic conditions. For instance, CRISPR-Cas may be used to treat viral infections by targeting the virus’s genome within human cells.39 There is also potential for improving cancer treatments,40 such as by engineering immune cells to kill tumours.41 To minimise the risk of off-target effects, improved maps of human genetic diversity are a prerequisite for such therapies.42

    Therapies based on synthetic cells43 have shown promise for certain hard-to-treat conditions such as spinal muscular atrophy.44 In some cases,45 bacteria act as “living drugs”.46 Controlling such cells remains a challenge,47 but programmable synthetic receptor systems may offer a means of doing so.48There have also been preliminary investigations into the benefits of modifying the skin microbiome.49 Going beyond cells, engineered tissues have potential as drug-delivery systems,50 while synthetic transplant organs and induced tissue regeneration remain distant but tantalising possibilities.51

    Medicine and health - Anticipation Scores

    The Anticipation Potential of a research field is determined by the capacity for impactful action in the present, considering possible future transformative breakthroughs in a field over a 25-year outlook. A field with a high Anticipation Potential, therefore, combines the potential range of future transformative possibilities engendered by a research area with a wide field of opportunities for action in the present. We asked researchers in the field to anticipate:

    1. The uncertainty related to future science breakthroughs in the field
    2. The transformative effect anticipated breakthroughs may have on research and society
    3. The scope for action in the present in relation to anticipated breakthroughs.

    This chart represents a summary of their responses to each of these elements, which when combined, provide the Anticipation Potential for the topic. See methodology for more information.

    Energy, climate and conservation

    There are many theoretical applications of synthetic biology to environmental problems, including tackling biodiversity loss, pollution and climate change. Much of this research is at a preliminary stage.

    Future Horizons:

    ×××

    5-yearhorizon

    AI accelerates discovery

    Climate-resilient staple crops are developed. Improved catalytic abilities help achieve bioremediation of some organic pollutants, such as oil. Improved fixation of carbon and nitrogen from the air reduces the need for chemical fertilisers. AI enables rapid discovery of new organisms, pathways and molecules with important ecosystem functions. Carbon-negative manufacturing provides proof of principle.

    10-yearhorizon

    Engineered organisms achieve climate resilience

    Wild species are engineered for resilience to climate change and other stressors, for example corals and their holobionts are engineered for heat tolerance. Microbes are engineered for biodegradation of multiple plastics and for upcycling of waste products. Reliable pest control is achieved using RNA interference. Biological synthesis of replacements for animal products like leather reduce the environmental impacts of livestock farming. Large-scale biosensors are deployed dynamically around the world.

    25-yearhorizon

    Biodiversity begins to be restored through engineering

    Rational ecosystem engineering is used for biodiversity restoration. Engineered bacteria are able to achieve large-scale green hydrogen production. Extinct species are generated, and synthetic biology is applied to geoengineering practices such as solar radiation management and to carbon capture.

    There are multiple avenues for using synthetic biology to mitigate climate change. Algae and other cellular factories could be used to produce renewable fuels, offering a less land-intensive alternative to biofuels.54 Notably, some early work has been done on engineering microbes to produce hydrogen.55Unlike existing methods of hydrogen manufacture, this would be low- or zero-carbon.56Similarly, microbes are being engineered for enhanced carbon capture, potentially removing carbon dioxide from the air.57

    The flow of pollutants into the environment may be reduced through the use of synthetic biology. For instance, chemical pesticides may be partially replaced by biotechnologies such as RNA interference for pest control or by engineering the pests themselves — using gene drives, for example.58 Where pollutants are already present, engineered microbes may speed up their degradation.59

    Endangered species and ecosystems may be made more robust through synthetic biology.60[56] Genome editing may be used to monitor threatened species or to identify the species making up harmful algal blooms.61 More radically, genome editors could enhance adaptive traits, for instance by making coral holobionts more tolerant of higher temperatures to protect coral reefs from climate change.62 Any such endeavours would need a reliable understanding of the ecosystems involved: in particular, it is important to gain a better understanding of microbial ecosystems, which are also threatened but are understudied.63

    Energy, climate and conservation - Anticipation Scores

    The Anticipation Potential of a research field is determined by the capacity for impactful action in the present, considering possible future transformative breakthroughs in a field over a 25-year outlook. A field with a high Anticipation Potential, therefore, combines the potential range of future transformative possibilities engendered by a research area with a wide field of opportunities for action in the present. We asked researchers in the field to anticipate:

    1. The uncertainty related to future science breakthroughs in the field
    2. The transformative effect anticipated breakthroughs may have on research and society
    3. The scope for action in the present in relation to anticipated breakthroughs.

    This chart represents a summary of their responses to each of these elements, which when combined, provide the Anticipation Potential for the topic. See methodology for more information.