4.2. Advances in Science Diplomacy
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4.2. Advances in Science Diplomacy
Use the future to build the present
Advances in Science Diplomacy
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Stakeholder Type
1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology
1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology

Emerging Topic:

4.2Advances in Science Diplomacy

    Associated Sub-Fields

    The products of science are increasingly celebrated as drivers of global health, sustainable development and wealth creation. Science and technology are also sources of tension and competition between nations or regions. The COVID-19 crisis highlighted the role of science on the international stage, how it rapidly advanced novel vaccine technologies, and how co-operation over these vaccines became a crucial part of the currency of international negotiations, diplomacy and geopolitics. But conflict also plays a role in mediating the influence of science and technology; situations such as the war in Ukraine are revealing how careful states need to be with powerful technologies, the way they are transferred and how they are used.

    The field of science diplomacy seeks to establish an evidence-informed foundation for this kind of endeavour. This foundation will support and empower the increasingly diverse set of stakeholders who practice science diplomacy — it is not just nations, but non-governmental actors, groups of citizens and indigenous communities, for instance — through the challenges ahead. Climate change, especially with the rapid opening of ice-free routes through the Arctic Ocean and the geopolitical tensions this is creating, is one of the many key proving grounds for this work.

    “Big science” projects are also part of this diplomatic landscape, requiring long term technical and diplomatic engagement among a broad group of stakeholders. These diverse groups must also find ways to manage traditional and emerging global commons fairly and effectively. A final challenge is to find ways to build capacities and evaluate this work, to create a continual cycle of learning and improvement in the practice of science diplomacy.

    SELECTION OF GESDA BEST READS AND KEY REPORTS:

    In June 2023, researchers from Germany and Russia unveiled a fresh perspective on the interplay of science and international affairs in Science diplomacy from a nation-state’s perspective: a general framing and its application to Global South countries. Grounded in International Relations theories, the article spotlights how developing nations harness science diplomacy to address internal challenges while bolstering their global stature. US researchers published a provocative argument entitled Want to speed up scientific progress? First understand how science policy works in August. Their article champions the transformative value of “use-inspired” science-policy research. By highlighting the potential of academia-policy collaborations and urging a paradigm shift in academic norms, this article resonates with the pressing need to enhance science's societal contributions. In September, Ian Bremmer and Mustafa Suleyman published The AI Power Paradox, which delves into the profound and multifaceted ramifications of unchecked AI proliferation. Proposing a reimagined global governance model, the article offers an anticipatory framework to navigate the intricate nexus of emerging technologies and geopolitics, thereby enriching the ongoing discourse on AI's role in world affairs.

    Emerging Topic:

    Anticipation Potential

    Advances in Science Diplomacy

    Sub-Fields:

    Science diplomacy for effective multilateralism
    Technology Diplomacy and the role of non-state actors
    Science Diplomacy and emerging economies
    Science diplomacy as a response to conflict- and inequality-driven tensions
    The importance of diplomacy in science and vice versa is becoming increasingly accepted. Nowhere is this more apparent than in our efforts to better manage our global commons, which was judged to have by far the highest potential for impact of the four topics investigated. Breakthroughs in this area are still some way off, however, with respondents predicting that maturity won't be achieved for another 14 years. Getting there will be a long-term project and will be impossible to achieve without breakthroughs in multi-stakeholder diplomacy, which will require considerably more attention going forward.

    GESDA Best Reads and Key Resources

    Article

    New frontiers in science diplomacy Navigating the changing balance of power January 2010

    Published:

    8th Aug 2021
    Science diplomacy is not new, but it has never been more important. Many of the defining challenges of the 21st century— from climate change and food security, to poverty reduction and nuclear disarmament—have scientific dimensions. No one country will be able to solve these problems on its own. The tools, techniques and tactics of foreign policy need to adapt to a world of increasing scientific and technical complexity.

    Article

    Quantitative Foresighting as a Means of Improving Anticipatory Scientific Capacity and Strategic Planning

    Published:

    8th Aug 2021
    In a rapidly changing world, scientists and research institutions need to plan for the infrastructure, skills, and policy engagement that will help society navigate social-ecological challenges. Foresighting draws on approaches used in strategic and long-range (>10 years) planning and participatory futures studies. Here, we describe a new quantitative approach to develop and rank 14 foresight scenarios across a range of general and marine-relevant science domains. Indicators for each foresight were used to assess the time-specific probability of each scenario being realized. Assessments by scientists in 2 consecutive years showed foresight scoring consistency and revealed surprises. Despite high variation among scientists in scoring the year that each indicator would occur, there was overall consistency across the foresights between years. We show that foresighting can be quantitative and that individual performance and changes in likelihood can be evaluated. This approach can motivate and guide strategic planning and investment decisions by scientific institutions in response to different anticipated futures and build skills in futures thinking.