4.2.1. Science diplomacy for effective multilateralism
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4.2.1. Science diplomacy for effective multilateralism
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Science diplomacy for effective multilateralism
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1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology
1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology

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4.2.1Science diplomacy for effective multilateralism

    A key goal for science diplomacy is to find ways to balance competition against strategic cooperation. Science diplomacy has traditionally established itself as a way to use science as a “soft power” that can advance diplomatic objectives through scientific collaborations that create goodwill between nations. The 50th anniversary of signing the Antarctic Treaty, for instance, engaged diplomatic and academic communities in the use of science diplomacy as a tool for improving multilateral relations. Commitments to science-based diplomacy have since been incorporated into national strategies and policies, opening new avenues for co-operation. This has been important in establishing positive communication and diplomacy, helping collaborative navigations of “global commons” issues such as COVID-19, climate change, exploitation of space, deep sea mining and managing Arctic and Antarctic resources.

    At the same time, the reality of global politics and geo-economics means that there are increasingly areas of international and inter-group tension that involve science and technology. US restrictions on use of certain foreign resources for technology development, the importance of Taiwan’s semiconductor industry to its independence and security, shortcomings in the supply of parts and labour for multilateral science projects such as the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER), vaccine production and distribution, and the location of key science projects such as the Future Circular Collider, are all potential sources of conflict and competition. The same is true of the way some indigenous groups suffer disproportionately from the effects of climate change, seeking to use the relevant science as a lever to encourage action by majority population groups. Similarly, the uptake of certain scientific technologies, such as gene therapies and anti-ageing interventions, by small groups of adventurous self-experimenters, puts pressure on hesitant regulatory bodies. Unilateral forays into geoengineering have also caused diplomatic tensions. The return to the Moon will be a test for science diplomacy and its power to achieve collaboration on a global scale at a time when growing nationalism and trends towards strategic autonomy will challenge future large-scale science collaborations.

    This threatens to limit knowledge sharing, the advancement and acceptance of certain medical technologies, the free movement of people and ideas, and funding for international collaboration. All these issues create challenges for science diplomacy’s efforts to establish useful channels for improving multilateralism, but can also be seen as opportunities for initiating dialogue.

    Future Horizons:

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    5-yearhorizon

    National bodies call for action over resources held in common

    As nations seek to shorten supply lines and strengthen trade links, new regional interest blocs emerge. This changes balances of geopolitical power and how international science projects are established, as science resource sharing and collaborations mirror economic patterns. Studies of large parts of oceans protected from exploitation — Marine Protection Areas — provide evidence that international action can bring about significant beneficial change to global commons. Tensions between the US, Russia and China over Arctic resources grow more intense and prove rich territory for science diplomacy to prove its worth.

    10-yearhorizon

    Lunar exploration brings science diplomacy challenges

    The US, India, China, Europe, Japan, Israel and others launch missions that include exploration and exploitation of lunar resources. These missions increase the profile of the Moon in public debate and highlight the necessity and importance of science diplomacy to tackle the issues these activities raise. The importance of regional interest blocs increases, with numerous developing economies — especially in Africa and Latin America — playing significant roles in global science diplomacy. Non-governmental actors develop greater influence on national strategies and become a significant factor in science diplomacy. IPCC-like bodies emerge for a variety of scientific areas such as biodiversity, space exploration and infectious disease control.

    25-yearhorizon

    Trained experts in science diplomacy begin to steer policy

    Science and diplomacy-savvy professionals begin to reach positions of influence in their respective careers, fields and countries. The task of balancing national interests against multilateral interests remains challenging.

    Science diplomacy for effective multilateralism - Anticipation Scores

    How the experts see this field in terms of the expected time to maturity, transformational effect across science and industries, current state of awareness among stakeholders and its possible impact on people, society and the planet. See methodology for more information.

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