5.4.3. The geological record
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5.4.3. The geological record
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The geological record
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1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology
1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology

Sub-Field:

5.4.3The geological record

    Our knowledge of the early Earth is a key constraint on hypotheses for the origin of life. The Earth is 4.5 billion years old, and the earliest fossil organisms to have yet been discovered are 3.5 billion years old.17

    Unfortunately, the overwhelming majority of the oldest rocks on Earth have been destroyed or altered by geological processes such as tectonic shift. Consequently, the geological record is extremely poor for the first billion years of Earth's 4.5 billion year history,18 and so all we know is that life arose during a one-billion year window — an enormous span of time, roughly twice as long as complex animals have existed.

    The limited geological evidence also means there is little information about conditions on the early Earth. The temperature range, the presence or absence of exposed land, and the chemical makeup of the oceans and atmosphere, as well as the elemental composition are all central issues for understanding which scenarios of the origin of life are plausible.1920 For instance, some scenarios rely on the existence of ponds or pools on land, but if the oceans were too deep there cannot have been any land.21 These questions are bound up with fundamental problems in geology, notably the origin of modern plate tectonics.22

    Improvements in our understanding of the geological record will continue to narrow down when and how life may have formed. A key challenge for palaeontologists and geologists is to narrow the time window for the origin of life, either by finding hard evidence of earlier life, by building on innovative synthetic biology and evolutionary systems biology tools to reconstruct ancient life,23 or by demonstrating that conditions before a certain point were unremittingly hostile.24

    Future Horizons:

    ×××

    5-yearhorizon

    Criteria for assessment of evidence for life developed

    Explicit criteria are developed for the assessment of purported evidence for early life on Earth.

    10-yearhorizon

    Earth's formation is better understood

    We have an improved understanding of Earth's formation via study of exoplanets.

    25-yearhorizon

    Origin of Earth's water clarified

    Greater clarity is achieved on the origin of Earth's water and the initial development of oceans and land.

    The geological record - Anticipation Scores

    How the experts see this field in terms of the expected time to maturity, transformational effect across science and industries, current state of awareness among stakeholders and its possible impact on people, society and the planet. See methodology for more information.

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