1.5.2. Smarter teams
Download PDF
1.5.2. Smarter teams
Use the future to build the present
Smarter teams
Comment
Stakeholder Type
1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology
1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology

Sub-Field:

1.5.2Smarter teams

    Researchers are now trying to understand and enhance collaboration within teams, building on previous work in organisational psychology, behavioural economics and group dynamics. This involves solving a number of challenges, including goal alignment, task prioritisation, progress tracking, maintaining attention, distribution of responsibilities and ensuring that deliberation processes are efficient and equitable.

    Research into group dynamics is already providing simple but powerful insights into how to improve the CI of teams, such as including intermittent breaks in collaboration and ensuring the right balance of cognitive diversity.1314 But it is also laying the foundations for new tools designed to enhance team performance. These include real-time visualisations of how much effort each team member is putting in,15 information dashboards that provide summaries of people's expertise,16 and even AI powered chatbots that nudge teams into sharing their expertise.17

    Researchers are also building AI tools, based on the way swarms work in nature, to help groups make better forecasts, predictions and decisions.18 In the future, better natural language understanding and sentiment analysis could see AI facilitators morph into AI moderators that can orchestrate group deliberations to boost CI. A nearer-term goal is the use of human collectives, with some AI assistance available, to provide oversight of individual decision-making in areas like criminal justice and medicine.19

    Future Horizons:

    ×××

    5-yearhorizon

    Understanding of organisational structures aids CI

    Researchers develop a better understanding of the organisational structures and behaviours that negatively impact CI, making it possible to develop strategies to neutralise them. Simple AI-powered facilitators designed to lubricate group deliberations become commonplace.

    10-yearhorizon

    AI moderates discussions

    Decisions in crucial areas like medicine and criminal justice are made by systems that combine individual human knowledge, orchestrated collective intelligence and AI supervision. More advanced AI systems are now able to moderate discussions between groups of humans in ways designed to enhance CI.

    25-yearhorizon

    Brain interfaces augment human deliberation

    A combination of AI and crowd intelligence provides everyday people with a form of "cognitive autocomplete" via brain interfaces that help them quickly access important information and augment their ability to deliberate.

    Smarter teams - Anticipation Scores

    How the experts see this field in terms of the expected time to maturity, transformational effect across science and industries, current state of awareness among stakeholders and its possible impact on people, society and the planet. See methodology for more information.

    GESDA Best Reads and Key Resources