4.3.4. Participatory futures and futures literacy
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4.3.4. Participatory futures and futures literacy
Use the future to build the present
Participatory futures and futures literacy
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1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology
1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology

Sub-Field:

4.3.4Participatory futures and futures literacy

    To date, prediction and foresight has typically been commissioned and practiced by states, multinational agencies and large companies, who naturally have an interest in these areas for strategic purposes.28 However, these are not neutral activities. The outcomes envisaged and conclusions reached will depend on the sponsor of the work, who will deliberately or inadvertently tend towards those which suit their purposes.29 These will not necessarily align with those considered most desirable or achievable by other stakeholders.

    As a result, work has now begun towards encouraging communities to understand how to think about the future — futures literacy — and engage with participatory futures activity. Futures literacy is defined by UNESCO as an essential, universally accessible competency which allows people to better understand how they can anticipate the future and plan accordingly,30 and it has set up more than 100 “Labs” aimed at fostering it.31 Research continues to explore how the human mind envisages the future, and how this process might be duplicated or augmented with machine intelligence and immersive technologies.

    Participatory futures take a variety of forms, but generally aim to tackle a more specific challenge, generally beginning with a briefing designed to expose participants to alternatives, often employing fictional or narrative elements to engage imaginations. Structured discussion follows to identify and expand on a set of preferred futures.32 These methods are now being trialled to help rural communities define their futures after the net-zero transition, or to help city-dwellers understand how urban design can improve their quality of life.33

    Beyond these, we can start to work towards futures resilience, the capacity to survive emerging challenges, obstacles, risks and crises and come out from them relatively unharmed. This is a general capability and infrastructure, rather than the identification and specialist management of individual risks and includes the ability to learn from them in a way that leads to re-thinking existing structures, systems, and practices and regarding the needs for possibly changing them accordingly.34

    Future Horizons:

    ×××

    5-yearhorizon

    Citizens gain futures literacy

    Futures literacy becomes a core tenet of citizen empowerment, alongside the appointment of policy-makers charged with safeguarding the interests of future generations.

    10-yearhorizon

    Participatory futures activities become routine

    Systems are developed which allow mass engagement with participatory futures activity to be conducted routinely, rather as opinion polls are today

    25-yearhorizon

    Constitutions mandate participatory futures activity

    The results of participatory futures activity becomes legally binding in certain jurisdictions, being written into constitutional procedures for decision-making

    Participatory futures and futures literacy - Anticipation Scores

    How the experts see this field in terms of the expected time to maturity, transformational effect across science and industries, current state of awareness among stakeholders and its possible impact on people, society and the planet. See methodology for more information.