2.3.3. Healthspan therapies and interventions
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2.3.3. Healthspan therapies and interventions
Use the future to build the present
Healthspan therapies and interventions
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Stakeholder Type
1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology
1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology

Sub-Field:

2.3.3Healthspan therapies and interventions

    Healthspan extension can already be achieved through several approaches, including specific diets, calorie restriction and exercise,1819 but drugs are being developed to mimic the effects of these interventions.

    These include drugs that target sirtuins, and drugs that inhibit the mechanistic target of rapamycin (mTOR) networks, whose signalling is increasingly understood to influence longevity and ageing. mTOR inhibition has been shown to increase lifespan in animal models and reduce respiratory changes in older humans.20212223 Two such drugs under investigation are the immunosuppressant rapamycin,24 and metformin, a drug originally prescribed for Type 2 diabetes and other metabolic diseases, which had the “side effect” of reducing the incidence of other diseases of age compared to the purportedly healthy, non-diabetic controls against whom they were compared.25

    Trials of metformin and rapamycin26 suggest that these small molecule drugs can change the biology of ageing in tissues to a younger profile. Another approach is senolytics, which target senescent cells before they can damage tissues. Gene therapy and stem cells are other possible approaches to rejuvenating old organs.

    Future Horizons:

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    5-yearhorizon

    Anti-ageing drugs and regimens begin clinical trials

    Tests begin to validate anti-ageing drugs and regimens and clinical trials to delay age progression proliferate. AI, baked into a proliferation of wearable devices, apps and trackers, allows people to personalise exercise and diet interventions to maximise their healthspan. Results emerge from first trials of cell and gene therapy to slow ageing in dogs. Rapamycin and metformin trials, along with canine and non-human primate work, yield results that begin to reveal the cellular mechanisms they act on, and elucidate the viability of mTOR inhibition as a single therapy that can knock down the dominoes of age-related conditions.

    10-yearhorizon

    Clinical trials clarify promising drugs

    Health plans begin to prescribe validated age-delaying therapies. Promising genetic and pharmacological interventions in animals, and longevity adaptation identified in long-lived animals including naked mole rats, bowhead whales and bats, are tested in humans via gene therapy or pharmacological intervention. The first gut microbiome interventions are tested in humans to slow onset of age. Trials begin to combine two or more drugs like metformin and rapamycin. All findings feed back into fundamental geroscience, adding new insights.

    25-yearhorizon

    Early preventative interventions see success

    The traditional medical model of “one disease, one treatment” is disrupted by drugs that have multi-modal effects. Rather than picking up age-related problems like cancer and dementia in their late stages, preventive interventions stop people getting ill in the first place. Prescriptions for drugs that have been validated in trials are dispensed for some people at particular risk of abnormal ageing early in life, say in their 20s, preventing the ageing process rather than trying to reverse it later.

    Healthspan therapies and interventions - Anticipation Scores

    How the experts see this field in terms of the expected time to maturity, transformational effect across science and industries, current state of awareness among stakeholders and its possible impact on people, society and the planet. See methodology for more information.

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