2.3.2. Diagnostics, hallmarks and biomarkers
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2.3.2. Diagnostics, hallmarks and biomarkers
Use the future to build the present
Diagnostics, hallmarks and biomarkers
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1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology
1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology

Sub-Field:

2.3.2Diagnostics, hallmarks and biomarkers

    One essential requirement for extending healthspan will be a set of tools for quantifying both age and the impact of interventions on ageing processes.

    Current technologies, such as smart watches, apps and fitness trackers, already give some indirect measurements of health, and these indicators may reflect likely healthspan. These assist interventions to some degree, helping people adhere to the only activities known to optimise ageing: exercise, diet and sleep regimens. However, much more granular information is required if meaningful increases to healthspan are to be achieved.

    New methods — blood7 or urine tests8, and saliva and stool-sourced microbiome analysis — can purportedly reflect age-related variations in blood markers, measuring objective indicators and revealing differential “ageotypes”, and potentially warnings of premature ageing.9 These biomarkers are not yet validated in humans but when they are, they will provide measures of “biological age” - a more useful indicator of how long a person can expect to remain in good health than number of years alive. We now know that certain genes can slow ageing in centenarians and lead to healthier old age than their age in years would suggest.10 Furthermore, the body’s different tissues can age at vastly different rates due to genetic or environmental factors.1112

    The goal is a biomarker of age whose manipulation restores good health, the way blood pressure does for heart disease. Many candidates exist including transcriptomics, metabolomics, proteomics and DNA methylation. Omics analysis of existing studies of gerotherapies — including rapamycin, metformin and senolytics — is now underway with a view to finding consequent changes in age-related biomarkers. The recent discovery of three senolytics using machine learning algorithms trained solely on published data is just one way in which AI is helping the search for new biomarkers.13 Machine learning will be used to search hundreds of datasets and previous trials to identify other useful factors and patterns.14 Population-level work is aiming to expose the relationships between these clocks and disease risk.15

    Future Horizons:

    ×××

    5-yearhorizon

    Validation and standardisation of biomarkers takes off

    Measurements of omics reveal what other drugs including SGL2 inhibitors and senolytics are doing to omics. Clinical trials validate measures of premature ageing, while multiple companies’ methods converge on standardised, validated diagnostics of real age, such as the presence of molecules in blood that correlate with impaired functions.16 It becomes possible to identify unhealthy ageing with greater precision. Biological ages of individual organs begin to predict disease risk in those areas.17

    10-yearhorizon

    Age clocks are validated

    Multi-omics biomarkers emerge. Some specific age clocks that predict morbidity and mortality and are responsive to interventions are validated and brought into alignment. AI mines proteomic and functional molecules to establish patterns. Personalised health assessments integrate information on various organs’ ageing processes. Comprehensive evaluations, based on multi-omics biomarkers, identify abnormal ageotypes and suggest gene- or pathway-targeted drugs. Age diagnostics and epidemiology combine to halt specific aspects of the ageing process.

    25-yearhorizon

    Age profile and prevention strategies are personalised

    Interlinked and fundamental ageing processes are revealed as root-cause contributors to many disorders and diseases. Morbidity is compressed profoundly in a significant amount of people. We understand the relationship between organ specific and systemic ageing.

    Diagnostics, hallmarks and biomarkers - Anticipation Scores

    How the experts see this field in terms of the expected time to maturity, transformational effect across science and industries, current state of awareness among stakeholders and its possible impact on people, society and the planet. See methodology for more information.

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