Global economics
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Stakeholder Type

Global economics

4.2.3

Sub-Field

Global economics

Traditional economic models have long painted a narrow and often misleading picture of global development, heavily influenced by Western ideas and an over-reliance on GDP as the primary measure of progress. This perspective frequently portrays lower- and middle-income countries, particularly those in Africa, as needing to "catch up" by adopting what are seen as established practices, even while ignoring the legacy of colonial control and global exploitation of nature and people. However, a compelling alternative viewpoint is emerging: that lower- and middle-income countries offer a vital new frontier for economic thinking, providing crucial insights into the future of work, value and societal well-being,6 and the individual and group behaviours that progressive economic models must capture.

Future Horizons:

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5-yearhorizon

GDP alternatives gain wider acceptance

Economists, policy-makers and business leaders begin to embrace metrics such as time use, care work, median wages, working conditions, food access and ecological measures as alternatives to GDP. Greater investment in improving data infrastructure for reliable and objective metrics in all countries drives new understanding of value creation and the nature of work.

10-yearhorizon

Global discussions focus on the experience of regions like Africa

Scholars and institutions from the developing world, especially from Africa, lead a global economic discourse on alternative and more just and inclusive models of economic development. The formal integration of decolonised economic indicators is adopted for national and international policies.

25-yearhorizon

GDP replaced with more holistic indicators

Holistic, equity-centred economic systems replace GDP-centric paradigms worldwide. Indigenous knowledge and informal-sector innovations become mainstream in global economic thinking

Current economic assumptions, which link growth directly to job creation, are increasingly challenged by technological advancements like automation and AI, as well as changes in ecological and planetary conditions that are associated with growing inequality and more informal economies. Many low- and middle-income countries have experienced such conditions for decades, which provides experience that can inform how the global workforce will evolve and how societies can build resilience against future shocks. The need to ensure decent and dignified lives and working conditions in such countries also points to the need for experimentation with economic policies that go well beyond mainstream perceptions of growth and development.

In addition, the narrow, monetised interpretation of value in Western models, exemplified in the concept of GDP as the basic indicator of economic progress, often overlooks crucial factors such as Indigenous knowledge systems, community-level practices, ecological health and long-term resilience. Embracing these alternative perspectives, and coupling them with interdisciplinary approaches and proactive strategies for sustainable development, will be crucial for navigating the complex economic landscape of the future.7