2.2.1. Diagnostics
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2.2.1. Diagnostics
Use the future to build the present
Diagnostics
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1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology
1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology

Sub-Field:

2.2.1Diagnostics

    Reading and interpreting the genome — whole genome sequencing of patient DNA — is increasingly common in medical practice for developing and adequately deploying therapeutics. Better reading technologies have already helped to diagnose disease, genetic predispositions to disease, and even infections.7 For example, the CRISPR-Cas system is enabling the fast detection of pathogens: Cas12a has detected Hepatitis B in less than 30 minutes.8 More typically, sequencing is now possible in days to weeks.9 Costs are also falling.10

    Faster, better, and cheaper diagnostics coming into the mainstream will act as a fact checker on the new generations of genome editors, detecting and preventing DNA editing errors. These technologies need to be further refined to ensure every laboratory can easily adopt them when in vivo editing becomes mainstream.

    Much progress will be thanks to the new ability to do long read sequencing, which is more accurate than the previously more common usage of short read sequencing. This could identify more clinically relevant gene variants, and it could also provide epigenetic information that can bring epigenome editing closer to the clinic.11

    Future Horizons:

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    5-yearhorizon

    Faster, cheaper, better diagnostics become available

    CRISPR-based diagnostic methods are developed for a variety of targets, including cancer, viruses and other pathogens. Rapid, reliable, widespread whole genome sequencing shortens rare disease diagnosis and cancer diagnosis, prognosis, and management. Cost drops to $100 or $200 a genome.12 Therapeutic investment explodes. Genome targeting for pathogen diagnosis comes to point of care settings, including pharmacogenomics when drugs are prescribed.

    10-yearhorizon

    Genome reading finds a broad range of applications

    The time for whole human genome sequencing drops to an hour. Same day diagnosis of cancers and rare diseases shortens time to treatment. Genome sequencing influences the choices of partners based on genetic compatibility, as well as retirement plans and insurance.

    25-yearhorizon

    Gene reading goes mainstream

    Rapid diagnostics enable to-go or home-based devices for pathogen detection and better prediction of complex diseases. Editing technology, combined with AI, obviates most genetic concerns over partner choice. Heritability and environmental conditions are included in assessments of polygenic risk scores for everything from cancer to obesity.

    Diagnostics - Anticipation Scores

    How the experts see this field in terms of the expected time to maturity, transformational effect across science and industries, current state of awareness among stakeholders and its possible impact on people, society and the planet. See methodology for more information.

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