2.1.1. Fundamentals of cognition
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2.1.1. Fundamentals of cognition
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Fundamentals of cognition
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1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology
1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology

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2.1.1Fundamentals of cognition

    Cognition comprises, among other features, executive function, focus, cognitive flexibility, and working memory. While these can be impaired by a variety of disorders, the most common pathway of deterioration is through ageing. For older individuals, cognitive enhancement can delay or compensate for the cognitive decline, prolonging autonomy.3

    Successful enhancement of healthy cognition will require a foundation of more specific, mechanistic theories, and may require consensus around hallmarks of “normal” cognition, and how and under what circumstances it could or should be enhanced. An early study is underway in China to benchmark average markers of brain health against age, which could underpin future early warning systems of an abnormal rate of decline, and illuminate interventions that work to halt such decline.4 Other trials now underway promise to yield biomarkers of good cognitive function.

    There is still much to learn about why different enhancing techniques seem to have a differential impact on enhancing cognition in healthy humans across the lifespan. Physical exercise seems to be particularly effective in children5; non-invasive brain stimulation is a good candidate to compensate for cognitive decline in ageing6; playing action video games may provide a route to improved cognition in healthy adults7, which might provide advantage in dynamic, information-driven work environments. Open research questions include whether boosting some aspects of cognition could have hidden downsides.8

    Future Horizons:

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    5-yearhorizon

    Biomarkers of cognitive decline are understood

    Results from several ongoing trials yield biomarkers of normal cognitive decline; new studies give robust evidence of which methods can slow the cognitive decline that comes with age.

    10-yearhorizon

    Research provides effective brain-boosting techniques

    A Chinese study yields experimental results on what empirically can prevent premature cognitive decline. New insights from biomarkers show which types of cognition respond best to what kind of boosting.

    25-yearhorizon

    Digital twins improve enhancement outcomes

    Digital twin models of brains like The Blue Brain Project will allow us to make specific tweaks to models to predict specific enhancement outcomes. Similarly, a combination of genetic engineering and implants will allow widespread enhancement of intelligence in healthy individuals.

    Fundamentals of cognition - Anticipation Scores

    How the experts see this field in terms of the expected time to maturity, transformational effect across science and industries, current state of awareness among stakeholders and its possible impact on people, society and the planet. See methodology for more information.

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