2.6.2. Data-led therapies
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2.6.2. Data-led therapies
Use the future to build the present
Data-led therapies
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1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology
1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology

Sub-Field:

2.6.2Data-led therapies

    Artificial intelligence is poised to become a major ally in the fight against disease. Ever-growing volumes of medical data are already being generated in clinical practice and in research, and the trend is set to continue. This vast store of information contains the seeds of future insights and treatments.

    However, this will require far more meaningful and reliable patient data than is currently available. This situation can be remedied: patient involvement can be increased and improved through digital tools that range from simple smartphone apps to wearables that harvest data from users' bodies, and require prescription or physician referral. Many include sensors, gamification and connection to the care team for more effective and frequent self-reporting, among other means of data generation.15

    Such devices are rapidly evolving into commercial products. Since 2017 the US Food and Drug Administration has approved more than 40 health apps to manage health issues ranging from anxiety and opioid addiction to diabetes, back pain, and asthma. In Germany, health apps that are able to provide solid evidence from clinical trials are now covered by health insurance, and other EU countries are starting to copy the German model.

    These “digiceuticals” are predicted to become ubiquitous because they offer two major benefits. Most immediately, they increase patient adherence to therapies and medicines, and allow more frequent monitoring, which improves outcomes. The second benefit is that they enable more precise, high-resolution, high-quality data collection and integration.16 This can identify patterns relevant for both the individual and patient populations.

    The enormous volume of data generated by digiceuticals will make it necessary to use AI to identify patterns and generate useful insights.17 For example, machine learning could expose meaningful correlations between disease symptoms and cures, as well as between genomes, other -omic layers and vulnerabilities to particular diseases.18 This will also assist clinicians in decision-making, in the form of “augmented intelligence”.19 Augmenting human decision-making through the use of AI data analysis, sometimes referred to as “clinomics”, offers a potential step change in maintaining a population's health.

    Future Horizons:

    ×××

    5-yearhorizon

    Digital therapeutics comes of age

    Health insurance begins to cover more digital therapeutics. Stroke rehabilitation software takes advantage of brain plasticity. VR and AR tools become a mainstay of health apps. Health care AI systems increasingly provide predictive analytics, precision medicine, diagnostic imaging of diseases, and clinical decision support.

    10-yearhorizon

    Digiceuticals become mainstream

    App-based digital therapies enjoy further success and ever-wider use. Ingestible or injectable sensors, such as ultrasound systems that are able to detect proteolytic activity (enzymes that are changed by disease), are used alongside the apps. Smart homes tie in with clinics and apps: toilets with integrated sensors, for example, will couple with ingested bioelectronics to transmit basic health data directly to digital apps. The convergence of biomedical data and the ability to analyse, share and reuse it allows AI to comb through multiple databases in order to assist diagnosis, drug discovery and the development of new therapies --- some of which are personalised to take account of likely individual responses to drugs.^20

    25-yearhorizon

    Digital twins assist maintenance of health

    Data-gathering nanosystems roam the body, detecting and diagnosing multiple disease states ever earlier in the process. Ingested or implanted tools to flag up potentially harmful changes in biology or behaviour are ubiquitous. Digital twins incorporate experimental results.

    Data-led therapies - Anticipation Scores

    How the experts see this field in terms of the expected time to maturity, transformational effect across science and industries, current state of awareness among stakeholders and its possible impact on people, society and the planet. See methodology for more information.

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