2.4.1. Consciousness assessment
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2.4.1. Consciousness assessment
Use the future to build the present
Consciousness assessment
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1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology
1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology

Sub-Field:

2.4.1Consciousness assessment

    There is increasing recognition that a significant amount of brain processing is done under the level of consciousness. This has implications — both practical and ethical — about where intervention might be possible, and how we assess levels of consciousness.

    Although there is no granular understanding of which circuits are implicated in consciousness, a diagnostic tool based on EEG has been able to differentiate between a vegetative state and a minimally conscious state.2 EEG can identify candidates for brain-machine interface placement despite minimal responsiveness.3 Other technologies may detect and assess early memory loss in Alzheimer’s, helping guide treatment and care.4 Deep learning is now enabling faster progress in these types of assessments,5 even distinguishing between different kinds of states in a patient under anaesthesia.6

    Such work could help with fundamental science, identifying areas of interest for probing the neural correlates of consciousness. Chinese Academy of Sciences researchers, for instance, are looking at neural circuits associated with specific aspects of consciousness — notably self-awareness — in macaque brains.7 An understanding of the circuit basis of consciousness could help quantify specific aspects lacking, and thereby point to the best intervention in consciousness disorders.8 Furthermore, such investigations and analyses may help us to find a generalisable definition of consciousness.9

    Future Horizons:

    ×××

    5-yearhorizon

    We become more adept at diagnosing consciousness

    Brain state diagnostics improve, and machine learning overcomes individual patient variability to assist in prognosis and guide rehabilitation. The neural circuit implicated in the mirror test — a key aspect of how we define consciousness — is found in macaques. Specific tests reliably detect early onset of diseases that disrupt consciousness.

    10-yearhorizon

    Consciousness assessment follows internationally-agreed guidelines

    An agreed set of international guidelines (effectively a standard scale) standardises assessment of consciousness. Network-based models of arousal and awareness, the two measurable components of consciousness, lead to development of a unifying conceptual framework for therapeutic mechanisms of action — validated electrophysiologic and imaging tools that map brain network connectivity. Improved imaging, combined with AI pattern recognition, leads to more reliable prediction of which patients are aware, which will respond to stimulation, and which will require implants to communicate from their vegetative state.

    25-yearhorizon

    Consciousness can be evaluated

    Scientifically validated assessment of presence and quality of consciousness in humans, animals and machines begins. An agreed theory of consciousness takes shape. Brain-machine interfaces open up seamless communications with apparently unconscious people, even restoring natural consciousness in some cases.

    Consciousness assessment - Anticipation Scores

    How the experts see this field in terms of the expected time to maturity, transformational effect across science and industries, current state of awareness among stakeholders and its possible impact on people, society and the planet. See methodology for more information.

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