Best Reads
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Best Reads
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Best Reads
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1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology
1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology

Appendices:

Best Reads

    The GESDA Best Reads provide a carefully curated list of recent key articles and resources in relation to the scientific emerging topics described in the trend section. The GESDA BestReads are available as a monthly newsletter at the following link.

    Article

    AGI Safety Literature Review, May 2018, arXiv

    Published:

    7th Aug 2021
    The development of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) promises to be a major event. Along with its many potential benefits, it also raises serious safety concerns (Bostrom, 2014). The intention of this paper is to provide an easily accessible and up-to-date collection of references for the emerging field of AGI safety. A significant number of safety problems for AGI have been identified. We list these, and survey recent research on solving them. We also cover works on how best to think of AGI from the limited knowledge we have today, predictions for when AGI will first be created, and what will happen after its creation. Finally, we review the current public policy on AGI.

    Article

    Research Priorities for Robust and Beneficial Artifcial Intelligence, winter 2015, AAAS

    Published:

    7th Aug 2021
    Success in the quest for artificial intelligence has the potential to bring unprecedented benefits to humanity, and it is therefore worthwhile to inves- tigate how to maximize these benefits while avoiding potential pitfalls. This article gives numerous examples (which should by no means be construed as an exhaustive list) of such worthwhile research aimed at ensuring that AI remains robust and beneficial.

    Article

    Smart partnerships amid great power competition: AI, China and the Global Quest for Digital Sovereignty (REPORT) // January 2021, Atlantic Council Geotech Center

    Published:

    7th Aug 2021
    The report captures key takeaways from various roundtable conversations, identifies the challenges and opportunities that different regions of the world face when dealing with emerging technologies, and evaluates China’s role as a global citizen. In times of economic decoupling and rising geopolitical bipolarity, it highlights opportunities for smart partnerships, describes how data and AI applications can be harnessed for good, and develops scenarios on where an AI-powered world might be headed.

    Article

    Why AI is Harder Than We Think // 28.04.2021, arXiv

    Published:

    7th Aug 2021
    Since its beginning in the 1950s, the field of artificial intelligence has cycled several times between periods of optimistic predictions and massive investment (“AI spring”) and periods of disappointment, loss of confi- dence, and reduced funding (“AI winter”). Even with today’s seemingly fast pace of AI breakthroughs, the development of long-promised technologies such as self-driving cars, housekeeping robots, and conversational companions has turned out to be much harder than many people expected. One reason for these repeating cycles is our limited understanding of the nature and complexity of intelligence itself. In this paper I describe four fallacies in common assumptions made by AI researchers, which can lead to overconfident predictions about the field. I conclude by discussing the open questions spurred by these fallacies, including the age-old challenge of imbuing machines with humanlike common sense.

    1.1.1Deeper Machine Learning

    1.1.2Multimodal AI

    1.1.3 Intelligent devices

    1.1.4Alternative AI

    Article

    Here, there and everywhere

    Published:

    7th Aug 2021
    The Economist offers authoritative insight and opinion on international news, politics, business, finance, science, technology and the connections between them.

    1.2.1Quantum Communication

    1.2.2Quantum Computing

    1.2.3Quantum Sensing and Imaging

    1.2.4Quantum Foundations

    1.3.1Neuromorphic Computing

    1.3.2Organoid Intelligence

    1.3.3Cellular Computing

    1.3.4Optical Computing

    1.4.1Augmented reality hardware

    1.4.2Augmented experiences

    1.4.3AR platforms

    1.4.4Human factors of AR

    1.5.1Large-scale collaboration

    1.5.2Smarter teams

    1.5.3Collective cognition

    1.5.4Human-computer interaction

    Article

    iHuman Blurring lines between mind and machine

    Published:

    7th Aug 2021

    Neural interfaces, brain-computer interfaces and other devices that blur the lines between mind and machine have extraordinary potential.

    These technologies could transform medicine and fundamentally change how we interact with technology and each other. At the same time, neural interfaces raise critical ethical concerns over issues such as privacy, autonomy, human rights and equality of access.

    This Royal Society Perspective takes a future-facing look into possible applications of neural and brain-computer interfaces, exploring the potential benefits and risks of the technologies and setting out a course towards maximising the former and minimising the latter.

    2.1.1Fundamentals of cognition

    2.1.2Brain monitoring

    2.1.3Neuromodulation systems

    2.1.4Exogenous cognition

    Article

    For “All of Us”? On the Weight of Genomic Knowledge

    Published:

    7th Aug 2021
    This collection of essays is the first written product of The Hastings Center's Initiative in Bioethics and the Humanities. This new initiative, which we created with generous support from the National Endowment for the Humanities and private donors, has three aims. The first is to bring together insights from the humanities and the sciences to advance public conversation about the ancient question, how should we live? The second aim is to cultivate a habit of thinking that increases our chances of talking with, rather than past, others as we attempt to engage in that conversation. The third is to support young scholars in the humanities who seek to promote truly integrative and open-minded public conversation regarding an ethical matter about which they care deeply.

    Article

    Reactions to the National Academies/Royal Society Report on Heritable Human Genome Editing

    Published:

    7th Aug 2021
    In September 2020, a detailed report on Heritable Human Genome Editing was published. The report offers a translational pathway for the limited approval of germline editing under limited circumstances and assuming various criteria have been met. In this perspective, some three dozen experts from the fields of genome editing, medicine, bioethics, law, and related fields offer their candid reactions to the National Academies/Royal Society report, highlighting areas of support, omissions, disagreements, and priorities moving forward.

    2.2.1Diagnostics

    2.2.2Next generation editors and delivery

    2.2.3Engineered organism and AI-based tools

    2.2.4Alternatives to direct gene editing

    Article

    The aging epigenome

    Published:

    28th Apr 2022
    A new approach helps to assess the impact of accelerated epigenetic aging on the risk of cancer.

    2.3.1Fundamental Geroscience

    2.3.2Diagnostics, hallmarks and biomarkers

    Article

    The aging epigenome

    Published:

    28th Apr 2022
    A new approach helps to assess the impact of accelerated epigenetic aging on the risk of cancer.

    2.3.3Healthspan therapies and interventions

    2.3.4Lifespan extension and rejuvenation

    2.4.1Consciousness assessment

    2.4.2Cognitive capacity enhancement

    2.4.3Consciousness-augmenting interventions

    2.4.4Beyond-human consciousness

    Article

    How we’ll transplant tiny organ-like blobs of cells into people

    Published:

    23rd Sep 2022
    Miniature organoids are being implanted into animals. Humans are next.

    2.5.1Foundational research

    Article

    How we’ll transplant tiny organ-like blobs of cells into people

    Published:

    23rd Sep 2022
    Miniature organoids are being implanted into animals. Humans are next.

    2.5.2Hybrid organoids

    2.5.3Translation and personalised organoids

    2.5.4Enabling technologies

    Article

    Giant project will chart human immune diversity to improve drugs and vaccines

    Published:

    2nd Jan 2024
    Human Immunome Project aims to capture immune data from thousands of people globally

    Article

    UK first to approve CRISPR treatment for diseases: what you need to know

    Published:

    16th Nov 2023
    The landmark decision could transform the treatment of sickle-cell disease and β-thalassaemia — but the technology is expensive.

    2.6.1Electrical therapies

    2.6.2Data-led therapies

    2.6.3Cell, gene, biomimetic and nucleic acid therapies

    2.6.4Immunome-based therapies

    Article

    Breakthrough Batteries - RMI

    Published:

    1st Feb 2021
    Rapid advancements in battery technology are poised to accelerate the pace of the global energy transition and play a major role in addressing the climate crisis. With more than $1.4 billion invested in battery technologies in the first half of 2019 alone, massive investments in battery manufacturing and steady advances in technology have set in motion a seismic shift in how we will organize energy systems as early as 2030.

    Article

    Green Hydrogen The next transformational driver of the Utilities industry

    Published:

    8th Aug 2021
    In our Carbonomics report we analysed the major role of clean hydrogen in the transition towards Net Zero. Here we focus on Green hydrogen (“e-Hydrogen”), which is produced when renewable energy powers the electrolysis of water. Green hydrogen looks poised to become a once-in-a-generation opportunity: we estimate it could give rise to a €10 trn addressable market globally by 2050 for the Utilities industry alone. e-Hydrogen could become pivotal to the Utilities (and Energy) industry, with the potential by 2050 to: (i) turn into the largest electricity customer, and double power demand in Europe; (ii) double our already top-of-the-street 2050 renewables capex EU Green Deal Bull Case estimates (tripling annual wind/solar additions); (iii) imply a profound reconfiguration of the gas grid; (iv) solve the issue of seasonal power storage; and (v) provide a second life to conventional thermal power producers thanks to the conversion of gas plants into hydrogen turbines.

    Article

    Net Zero by 2050 A Roadmap for the Global Energy Sector

    Published:

    8th Aug 2021
    Despite the current gap between rhetoric and reality on emissions, our Roadmap shows that there are still pathways to reach net zero by 2050. The one on which we focus is – in our analysis – the most technically feasible, cost‐effective and socially acceptable. Even so, that pathway remains narrow and extremely challenging, requiring all stakeholders – governments, businesses, investors and citizens – to take action this year and every year after so that the goal does not slip out of reach. This report sets out clear milestones – more than 400 in total, spanning all sectors and technologies – for what needs to happen, and when, to transform the global economy from one dominated by fossil fuels into one powered predominantly by renewable energy like solar and wind. Our pathway requires vast amounts of investment, innovation, skilful policy design and implementation, technology deployment, infrastructure building, international co‐operation and efforts across many other areas.

    3.1.1Negative emissions technologies

    3.1.2Renewable energy

    3.1.3Hard-to-abate emissions

    3.1.4Energy Demand

    Article

    Digital Twin Earth, quantum computing and AI take centre stage at ESA’s Φ-week

    Published:

    8th Aug 2021
    ESA’s 2020 Φ-week event kicked off this morning with a series of stimulating speeches on Digital Twin Earth, updates on Φ-sat-1, which was successfully launched into orbit earlier this month, and an exciting new initiative involving quantum computing.

    3.2.1Modelling of feedbacks in the Earth system

    3.2.2Tipping element modelling and forecasting

    3.2.3Interactions between earth systems

    3.2.4Model intercomparison

    Article

    Future Food Systems: For people, our planet, and prosperity - September 2020

    Published:

    8th Aug 2021
    This report includes important recommendations and advice for leaders at the most senior levels in countries and international organisations. It is also of direct relevance to decision makers, professionals, actors in the private sector, experts and researchers with interests in food systems and diets. Many of these individuals will be directly concerned with the production, processing, trade, regulation, supply and safety of food. However, others may work in wider areas of policy and business, for example relating to: public health and well-being, education, economic development and investment, urbanisation, globalisation and demography. This report and executive summary are necessarily technical due to the nature of the subject matter. However, they set out the practical steps which are essential for food systems transformation, and the process of change.

    3.3.1Ecosystem-level Genetic Modification

    3.3.2Alternative Proteins

    3.3.3Resilient Farming

    3.3.4Personalised Nutrition

    Article

    30 Voices on 2030 The future of space Communal, commercial, contested

    Published:

    8th Aug 2021
    This paper highlights that the potential of space to open up to new businesses and customers, create new products and services, and speak to our sense of curiosity and desire to understand the world beyond our planet is huge. Organisations across different industries – and not just traditional space industry players – that lack in adaptability and imagination will be left behind.

    Article

    Concentrated lunar resources: imminent implications for governance and justice

    Published:

    8th Aug 2021
    Numerous missions planned for the next decade are likely to target a handful of small sites of interest on the Moon's surface, creating risks of crowding and interference at these locations. The Moon presents finite and scarce areas with rare topography or concentrations of resources of special value. Locations of interest to science, notably for astronomy, include the Peaks of Eternal Light, the coldest of the cold traps and smooth areas on the far side. Regions richest in physical resources could also be uniquely suited to settlement and commerce. Such sites of interest are both few and small. Typically, there are fewer than ten key sites of each type, each site spanning a few kilometres across. We survey the implications for different kinds of mission and find that the diverse actors pursuing incompatible ends at these sites could soon crowd and interfere with each other, leaving almost all actors worse off. Without proactive measures to prevent these outcomes, lunar actors are likely to experience significant losses of opportunity. We highlight the legal, policy and ethical ramifications. Insights from research on comparable sites on Earth present a path toward managing lunar crowding and interference grounded in ethical and practical near-term considerations.

    Article

    SPACE ECONOMY Initiative 2020 Outcome Report January 2021

    Published:

    8th Aug 2021

    The present report provides an overview of all Space Economy 2020 virtual events, based around the key outcomes of this opening series of activities, which respectively focused on: • Introducing the Space Economy, 15 June 2020 • Making the Case for Space: Baselines for building support for space economic growth, 6 June 2020 • How to Scale-Up: From startup to established, 24 July 2020 • Access to Finance: Building a sustainable financial system for space economies, 5 August 2020 • International Cooperation: International normative frameworks in domestic contexts, responsible and sustainable growth, 24 August 2020 • Innovation and Growth: Government, Industry and Academia working together to grow your space economy, 9 September 2020 • Building Back Better:How a healthy space economy can support post-COVID 19 recoveries, 23 September 2020

    3.4.1Earth Orbit

    3.4.2The Moon

    Article

    Concentrated lunar resources: imminent implications for governance and justice

    Published:

    27th Aug 2021
    Numerous missions planned for the next decade are likely to target a handful of small sites of interest on the Moon's surface, creating risks of crowding and interference at these locations. The Moon presents finite and scarce areas with rare topography or concentrations of resources of special value. Locations of interest to science, notably for astronomy, include the Peaks of Eternal Light, the coldest of the cold traps and smooth areas on the far side. Regions richest in physical resources could also be uniquely suited to settlement and commerce. Such sites of interest are both few and small. Typically, there are fewer than ten key sites of each type, each site spanning a few kilometres across. We survey the implications for different kinds of mission and find that the diverse actors pursuing incompatible ends at these sites could soon crowd and interfere with each other, leaving almost all actors worse off. Without proactive measures to prevent these outcomes, lunar actors are likely to experience significant losses of opportunity. We highlight the legal, policy and ethical ramifications. Insights from research on comparable sites on Earth present a path toward managing lunar crowding and interference grounded in ethical and practical near-term considerations.

    3.4.3Asteroid Belt

    3.4.4Mars

    Article

    Ocean Solutions That Benefit People, Nature and the Economy | System of Environmental Economic Accounting

    Published:

    8th Aug 2021
    The High Level Panel for a Sustainable Ocean Economy (Ocean Panel) is a unique initiative by 14 world leaders who are building momentum for a sustainable ocean economy. This work has been commissioned as an input to the Ocean Panel. The report builds on the latest scientific research, analyses and debates from around the world—including the insights from 16 Blue Papers and 3 special reports commissioned by the Ocean Panel. Included in the report are more holistic ways to account for the ocean, including the SEEA and the development of national ocean accounts.

    3.5.1Harnessing Ocean Biodiversity

    3.5.2Transition Ecosystems

    3.5.3Repairing the Ocean

    3.5.4Improved Ocean Observation

    3.6.1Stratospheric aerosol injection

    3.6.2Cloud engineering

    3.6.3Terrestrial solar radiation modification

    3.6.4Space-based solar radiation modification

    3.7.1Pathogen biology

    3.7.2Zoonotic disease

    3.7.3Vector control

    3.7.4Outbreak prevention

    Article

    Artificial Intelligence and International Affairs Disruption Anticipated

    Published:

    8th Aug 2021
    This Chatham House report examines some of the challenges for policymakers, in the short to medium term, that may arise from the advancement and increasing application of AI. It is beyond the scope of the report to offer a fully comprehensive set of predictions for every possible ramification of AI for the world. Significant areas not addressed here – including medicine, public health and law – might be fundamentally transformed in the next decades by AI, with considerable impacts on the processes of the international system. Furthermore, towards the end of the process of compiling the report, public attention has increasingly turned to the possibility of AI being used to support disinformation campaigns or interfere in democratic processes. We intend to focus on this area in follow-up work.

    Article

    Diplomacy in the Age of Artificial Intelligence

    Published:

    8th Aug 2021

    The global race to developing Artificial Intelligence (AI) capability is on with a clear focus on military, government surveillance, and economic applications. Studies have also started to investigate the AI potential for tackling some of the world’s most challenging social problems and have found reasons for optimism that AI can improve conditions in a variety of social domains ranging from educational challenges to addressing issues of health and hunger. As with other technological revolutions, AI is bound to have far-reaching consequences in every corner of our societies, and diplomacy, by necessity, cannot escape its gravitational pull.

    Article

    How ChatGPT might be able to help the world’s poorest

    Published:

    30th Aug 2023
    AI chatbots can be educational tools but still have many drawbacks.

    4.1.1Computational Diplomacy

    4.1.2Negotiation Engineering

    4.1.3Predictive Peacekeeping

    4.1.4Trust and Co-operation Modelling

    Article

    New frontiers in science diplomacy Navigating the changing balance of power January 2010

    Published:

    8th Aug 2021
    Science diplomacy is not new, but it has never been more important. Many of the defining challenges of the 21st century— from climate change and food security, to poverty reduction and nuclear disarmament—have scientific dimensions. No one country will be able to solve these problems on its own. The tools, techniques and tactics of foreign policy need to adapt to a world of increasing scientific and technical complexity.

    Article

    Quantitative Foresighting as a Means of Improving Anticipatory Scientific Capacity and Strategic Planning

    Published:

    8th Aug 2021
    In a rapidly changing world, scientists and research institutions need to plan for the infrastructure, skills, and policy engagement that will help society navigate social-ecological challenges. Foresighting draws on approaches used in strategic and long-range (>10 years) planning and participatory futures studies. Here, we describe a new quantitative approach to develop and rank 14 foresight scenarios across a range of general and marine-relevant science domains. Indicators for each foresight were used to assess the time-specific probability of each scenario being realized. Assessments by scientists in 2 consecutive years showed foresight scoring consistency and revealed surprises. Despite high variation among scientists in scoring the year that each indicator would occur, there was overall consistency across the foresights between years. We show that foresighting can be quantitative and that individual performance and changes in likelihood can be evaluated. This approach can motivate and guide strategic planning and investment decisions by scientific institutions in response to different anticipated futures and build skills in futures thinking.

    4.2.1Science diplomacy for effective multilateralism

    4.2.2Technology Diplomacy and the role of non-state actors

    4.2.3Science Diplomacy and emerging economies

    4.2.4Science diplomacy as a response to conflict- and inequality-driven tensions

    4.3.1Superforecasting and prediction markets

    4.3.2 Modelling and simulation

    4.3.3Scenarios and foresight

    4.3.4Participatory futures and futures literacy

    Article

    MDS coding enabled proxy-based Internet censorship circumvention system

    Published:

    27th Sep 2023
    In this letter, a novel maximum distance separable coding enabled proxy-based Internet censorship circumvention system is proposed to handle severe security threats. By introducing redundancy encoding and multi-proxy transmission, its anti-censorship capability is significantly enhanced in terms of transmission reliability and data security. A generalized characterization method is constructed for the proposed system utilizing a six-parameter tuple. Defining successful transmission probability and secure transmission probability as the evaluation metrics of system performances, their mathematical formulations are further derived theoretically. Extensive simulation results are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness and advantages of the proposed system.

    4.4.1Verification technologies

    4.4.2Digital identity and trust

    4.4.3Privatisation of governance

    4.4.4Censorship circumvention and content moderation

    5.1.1Computational Social Science

    5.1.2Digital Democracy

    5.1.3Collaborative behaviour

    Article

    Inclusion in citizen science: The conundrum of rebranding

    Published:

    25th Jun 2021
    As the scientific community, like society more broadly, reckons with long-standing challenges around accessibility, justice, equity, diversity, and inclusion, we would be wise to pay attention to issues and lessons emerging in debates around citizen science. When practitioners first placed the modif…

    5.1.4Design for Values

    Article

    Connecting learners: Narrowing the educational divide

    Published:

    17th Aug 2021
    School connectivity and access to digital learning benefit both children and society at large, but connecting learners is only the starting point. What else is needed to create opportunity for an entire generation? The Economist Intelligence Unit’s research programme, sponsored by Ericsson in support of UNICEF, assesses the potential gains of increased connectivity and access to digital learning in schools and the barriers that remain to be overcome. Read the full report here.

    5.2.1Learning Analytics

    5.2.2Educational Sensing

    5.2.3Out-of-school Learning

    5.2.4Neuroscientific Aspects of Learning

    5.3.1Managing Climate Externalities

    5.3.2Automation and Work

    5.3.3Bootstrapping Circular Economies

    5.3.4Sustainable Global Trade

    5.4.1Prebiotic chemistry

    5.4.2Systems biology

    5.4.3The geological record

    5.4.4Exobiology

    5.5.1Synthetic biomolecules

    5.5.2Synthetic cells

    5.5.3Synthetic tissues

    5.5.4Synthetic multicellular organisms