5.4.1. Prebiotic chemistry
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5.4.1. Prebiotic chemistry
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Prebiotic chemistry
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1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology
1.1Advanced AI1.2QuantumRevolution1.3UnconventionalComputing1.4AugmentedReality1.5CollectiveIntelligence2.1CognitiveEnhancement2.2HumanApplicationsof GeneticEngineering2.3HealthspanExtension2.4ConsciousnessAugmentation2.5Organoids2.6FutureTherapeutics3.1Decarbonisation3.2EarthSystemsModelling3.3FutureFoodSystems3.4SpaceResources3.5OceanStewardship3.6SolarRadiationModification3.7InfectiousDiseases4.1Science-basedDiplomacy4.2Advancesin ScienceDiplomacy4.3Foresight,Prediction,and FuturesLiteracy4.4Democracy-affirmingTechnologies5.1ComplexSystemsScience5.2Futureof Education5.3Future Economics,Trade andGlobalisation5.4The Scienceof theOrigins of Life5.5SyntheticBiology

Sub-Field:

5.4.1Prebiotic chemistry

    This field of research aims to make the chemical building blocks of life in a way that is “prebiotically plausible”, meaning likely to have occurred naturally on Earth.7 A key challenge for prebiotic chemists has been to minimise the number of active steps taken by experimenters, instead creating self-organising chemical systems that work without active human help.

    In the last decade there have been increasing attempts to perform prebiotic chemistry experiments in a unified way: that is, to obtain multiple biochemicals, relevant to different aspects of the living organism, from the same feedstock and environment.8 This effort is sometimes called “systems chemistry” because it involves complex mixtures of interacting substances.9 Experiments have demonstrated that a small number of starter chemicals can lead to hundreds of products, through reaction networks that are highly robust.10

    Commensurate with a shift toward systems chemistry, there is a concerted effort underway to study how the attributes of multiple, individual chemical reactions can form aggregate or network-level chemical systems that express attributes associated with living systems. Network analysis is a field that is developing tools that might be used to correlate the presence or absence of systems-level features with life-like behaviours. Network analysis tools focus on the relational structures that exist between objects, and therefore must be informed and interpreted through the use of a great deal of context-specific information about the circumstances in which these relationships are made possible.11

    Despite this progress, many challenges remain. It is essential to understand chemical evolution: how systems of chemicals can change over time, and in particular what it might mean for them to “evolve“ in the absence of true genetic control. It is not clear what would constitute progress in such a system, but recent findings indicate multiple attributes that would define a genuinely “complex” chemical predecessor to life at the systems level. One potential target is the emergence of a set of chemicals or processes that is robust even amid changes to the rest of the system. Another is to generate chemical systems that are far from chemical and thermodynamic equilibrium, as this non-equilibrium state is one of the central features of life. Yet another is the demonstration of emergent chemical systems that are capable of processing information, but which do not require explicit structures, such as genes or the ribosome, to store or process biological genetic information.12

    Future Horizons:

    ×××

    5-yearhorizon

    Automation begins to pay off

    Chemical systems have been developed that display open-ended evolution, i.e. avoiding equilibrium. Increased use of automation and AI allows us to conduct high-throughput experiments.

    10-yearhorizon

    Chemical computation becomes possible

    “Protocells” with self-replicating nucleic acid driven by metabolic reaction(s) are created. Laboratory experiments utilising a small array of reactive compounds have the topology and kinetics necessary to carry out basic computational processes via chemical reactions. Network-level descriptions of both living and non-living chemical systems will be used to distil a small number of correlative factors implicated with the expression of “life-like attributes” in those systems.

    25-yearhorizon

    Predictions of life-like chemistry becomes possible

    We have systematic comparisons of the prebiotic chemical potential of different geological settings. Naturally-occurring reactive compounds are shown to have the necessary topology and kinetics to permit emergent information processing systems to form as predecessors to living systems. Systems-level descriptions of living entities are sufficiently sophisticated to permit direct predictions of the frequency of occurrence of chemical systems with life-like behaviours, which can in turn be used to infer the probability of life arising spontaneously under generic prescribed conditions.

    Prebiotic chemistry - Anticipation Scores

    How the experts see this field in terms of the expected time to maturity, transformational effect across science and industries, current state of awareness among stakeholders and its possible impact on people, society and the planet. See methodology for more information.

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